FX Commentary - November 6, 2017
The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged, although firmly leaving a hike in December on the table. They noted that “economic growth was rising at a solid rate” and that the pace of economic developments does warrant a gradual rise in rates. Friday’s labor report appeared to support this view as the economy continues to head towards maximum employment. The US created 261,000 jobs in October while the prior month also saw a 90,000 upward revision. Unemployment fell to 4.1% but the one lingering concern is the absence of wage inflation. Despite this however, consumer confidence is at 17 year highs. Helping to overshadow the Fed announcement was President Trump’s nomination of Fed Governor Jerome Powell as the next Fed Chair. Powell will likely continue Yellen’s path of gradual policy normalization but appears more sympathetic to deregulation given his background in the private sector. Powell will soon inherit the delicate task of overseeing an economy which has managed growth yet eluded inflation.
House Republicans released the first draft of the much anticipated tax bill last Thursday, with a hopeful Thanksgiving deadline to pass the bill. Among the major provisions is a permanent reduction in the corporate tax rate to 20% from 35%. The dollar wavered in response to the higher than expected 12% tax on foreign profits which dampens the prospects for the repatriation of up to $2 trillion in overseas assets. The bill has already been met with opposition from several Republican representatives and lobbyists who oppose deductions on state and local tax deductions and reductions in mortgage interest deductions. Questions also remain over whether the bill’s cost will remain under the $1.5 trillion allowed under Senate reconciliation rules. The progress on the tax reforms will remain a focal point for markets this week as the US sees no major economic releases.
The Canadian dollar (CAD) seesawed on the back of economic data released throughout the week. GDP released for August showed a -0.1% contraction, the first such occurrence in 1 year, led by declines in manufacturing, mining, and energy. Friday’s labor report noted that the economy was shown to have added 35,000 jobs beating estimates of 15,000. While the economy is expected to moderate after peaking at a 4.5% annualized growth rate in the second quarter, the present strength in labor markets should help alleviate concerns of a sharp downturn. A data point that is worthy of noting was the expansion of the trade deficit. The central bank has highlighted their concern over the adverse impact of a strengthening CAD on the economy and the expanding trade deficit may be an indicator that the CAD strength is making exports less competitive.
There was little news out of the euro-zone last week as the Bank of England (BoE) took center stage for markets. The BoE raised its benchmark rate for the first time in 11 years by 25bp to .50%. Markets saw the accompanying statement as dovish since the bank removed its statement that rates may need to raise more than markets expect. Now indicating just two more 25bp increases through 2020, the bank expressed concern on Brexit uncertainties and reiterated a willingness to respond should conditions change. The cautious overtones sent the pound sharply lower for its worst day in months. The UK sees no major economic releases this week giving markets time to digest the BoE’s outlook in anticipation of major releases next week.
In Asia, manufacturing purchasing manager indices out of China last week showed a slowdown in the pace of production as well as steady job losses and reduced confidence in the 12 month outlook. China sees further data released this week on trade and inflation which may influence local exchange rates. Meanwhile, PMI surveys in India showed a strong services sector recovering from the new goods and services tax and a less robust manufacturing sector. Moreover, employment growth and price pressures are strengthening suggesting the Reserve Bank of India will not likely make any additional rate cuts soon.
Sources: Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Barclays, Bank of America, Econoday, 4cast
Recent NewsBridge Bank Extends $15,000,000 Growth Capital Term Loan to ExamityBridge Bank's Business Escrow Services Group Launches New Paying Agent PlatformBridge Bank Extends $12,000,000 Credit Facility to EllevationAlex Tsarnas Joins Bridge Bank Team to Lead Its Newly Established Banking Group, Business Escrow ServicesBridge Bank Expands Capital Finance Group Adding Several New Positions
Recent InsightsNational Economic Intelligence Report Provides Glimpse into Post-Pandemic EconomyAnalyzing life sciences VC activity's main hot spotsAustin's VC Ecosystem Tops $2 Billion in Value for Third Year RunningNew York Sees Second-Highest Annual Exit Value at Nearly $37 BillionCytoSorbents Delivers Technology to Calm the Storm
Join us virtually for Markets to Watch: Pacific Northwest to discover how the PNW’s reputation for innovation has helped fresh capital flow into the VC ecosystem with commitments to new investment funds. RSVP today to attend and learn more. bit.ly/3odHXY4 - yesterday pic.twitter.com/hoFdrqjYBcFunding for leading database software and cloudtech & DevOps segments bounced back in 2020, in the PNW, posting gains on deal count and aggregate deal value. Download our report, Markets to Watch: Pacific Northwest to learn more and read the analysis. bit.ly/2R6cYkB - 2 days pic.twitter.com/OcWPQUF5QEOn May 19, our panel of experts will provide analysis and key insights into the VC ecosystem of the Pacific Northwest, which posted a record $5.4 billion in value for 2020. RSVP now to attend this informative, virtual event. bit.ly/3odHXY4 - 3 days #pnw #venturecapitalThe Pacific Northwest’s VC ecosystem posted a record $5.4 billion in value for 2020. Download our report, Markets to Watch: Pacific Northwest to learn more and read the analysis. info.bridgebank.com/markets-to-wat… - 4 days pic.twitter.com/HTrfF4UWCoWe would like to extend our congratulations to our client, Securly, for their recent acquisition by Golden Gate Capital. Comprised of parents, educators and technologists, Securly is the first and only provider of enterprise security for K-12 schools since 2013. pic.twitter.com/OoRHNh5coQOur Boston-based Technology Banking Group recently provided a growth capital term loan to Examity, a technology company concentrating in the online proctoring market. Read our press release to learn more. bit.ly/3eWeu0g - 1 week 4 days agoLearn how liquidity surges are fueling reinvestment into life sciences ecosystems by downloading a complimentary copy of our report Life Sciences Markets to Watch. The report also contains analysis of trends in valuations and financing sizes and their implications. pic.twitter.com/mWrsT22dBZFind out how CytoSorbents delivered technology to calm the storm during the COVID-19 pandemic. Read more here: bit.ly/3e6F1su - 2 weeks 1 day ago #lifesciences #bridgebank #cytosorbentsJoin us for Life Sciences Markets to Watch and discover how likely venture investment in life sciences will continue at a rapid pace with strong liquidity and rates of funding. bit.ly/3dwyk2C - 2 weeks 3 days ago pic.twitter.com/0BFseH6AZrThe three major life sciences hubs in the U.S. set a record in venture capital invested in 2020. Download our complimentary report, Life Sciences Markets to Watch, to learn more and read the analysis. bit.ly/3gnq7Q9 - 2 weeks 4 days ago pic.twitter.com/jtO8XiJOa7CytoSorbents is celebrating five years as a Bridge Bank client. Read more at bit.ly/3n26LBA - 3 weeks 1 day ago #lifesciences #bridgebank #cytosorbentsOn May 5, our panel of experts will provide analysis and key insights into the three major life sciences ecosystems in the U.S., which set a record in venture capital invested in 2020. RSVP now to attend this virtual event. bit.ly/3dwyk2C - 3 weeks 2 days ago pic.twitter.com/L2LpL5ooZuWith strong liquidity and rates of funding, it is likely that venture investment in the space will continue at a rapid pace. Download our complimentary report, Life Sciences Markets to Watch, to learn more and read the analysis. bit.ly/3gnq7Q9 - 3 weeks 3 days ago pic.twitter.com/iH1LMoypkaOur #LifeSciences Group recently provided a term loan to Adarza Biosystems, developer of the ZIVA platform, a next-generation biomarker discovery and therapeutic research tool. pic.twitter.com/CR160SrQKbAustin’s VC ecosystem topped $2 billion in value for the third year running in 2020. Download our report, Markets to Watch: Austin, TX, to learn more and read the analysis. bit.ly/3sGCwly - about 1 month 2 days ago #Austin #venturecapital pic.twitter.com/75Kk4auvZdJoin us for Markets to Watch: Austin, TX to discover how the Austin VC ecosystem still secured a record $2.3 billion in aggregate value thanks in no small part to the its resilient enterprise tech sector. RSVP by clicking the link: bit.ly/3rzsUaZ - about 1 month 3 days ago pic.twitter.com/Ml7OkIKMS2Key top-level trends that defined VC deal-making in Austin last year can be found in our report, Markets to Watch: Austin, TX. The report also contains analysis of Austin’s banner year for exit value creation. Download it now: bit.ly/3sGCwly - about 1 month 6 days ago pic.twitter.com/ZQzJ6GiCtwJoin us and PitchBook, along with special guest Silverton Partners to discover key top-level trends that have defined VC deal-making in Austin. RSVP by clicking this link bit.ly/3rzsUaZ - about 1 month 7 days ago pic.twitter.com/M3ithiqhjjOn April 14, our panel of experts will provide analysis and key insights into Austin’s VC ecosystem, which topped $2 billion in value for the third year running. RSVP now to attend this informative event. bit.ly/3rzsUaZ - about 1 month 1 week ago #Austin #venturecapital #technology #innovation pic.twitter.com/gzRc4qJELoAustin’s VC ecosystem topped $2 billion in value for the third year running in 2020. Download our report, Markets to Watch: Austin, TX, to learn more and read the analysis. bit.ly/3sGCwly - about 1 month 2 weeks ago #Austin #venturecapital pic.twitter.com/ltpq7r20P8Join us for Markets to Watch: Austin, TX to discover how the Austin VC ecosystem still secured a record $2.3 billion in aggregate value thanks in no small part to the its resilient enterprise tech sector. RSVP by clicking the link: bit.ly/3rzsUaZ - about 1 month 2 weeks ago pic.twitter.com/ztR0lKmyzEOur Technology Banking Group recently provided a venture debt facility and working capital line of credit to Step. To learn more, read their recent press release. step.com/press/step-sur… - about 2 months 1 week ago #bridgebank #step #fintech pic.twitter.com/MzAtQGOTu9We are pleased to announce that we have launched Bridge Bank Gateway, a new digital paying agent platform that simplifies and accelerates complex M&A transactions. Read our recent press release to learn more. westernalliancebancorporation.com/bridge-bank-ho… - about 2 months 1 week agoWe would like to welcome Alex Tsarnas to the Bridge Bank team. Alex will be leading our newly established banking group, Business Escrow Services. Read our press release to learn more. westernalliancebancorporation.com/bridge-bank-ho… - about 2 months 3 weeks ago #mergersacquistions #privateequity #bridgebankIn observance of Presidents' Day, all Bridge Bank offices will be closed on Monday, February 15. #PresidentsDay pic.twitter.com/6eMQQeNJipOur team of asset-based lending professionals is growing! Read more about it here: westernalliancebancorporation.com/bridge-bank-ho… - about 3 months 3 days ago #assetbasedlending #bridgebankOur Life Sciences Group recently provided a Term Loan to Bolder Surgical, a medical device company focused on commercializing mini-laparoscopic surgical devices aimed at improving and enabling laparoscopic procedures for pediatric patients. #lifesciences #medicaldevices pic.twitter.com/hKgRzmVhaZ“Not everybody can be famous but everybody can be great because greatness is determined by service… You only need a heart full of grace and a soul generated by love.” ~ Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. In observance of MLK Day, all Bridge Bank offices will be closed on Mon. 1/18. #MLK pic.twitter.com/rBAo4INJXBOur Technology Banking group recently provided a growth capital term loan to Funraise, a software company that provides a state-of-the-art fundraising platform, saving nonprofit organizations time and resources spent on data management. pic.twitter.com/StETyssfLeOur #Technology Banking group recently provided a credit facility to @DrinkHealthAde, an organic beverage company. To learn more details, read our press release. westernalliancebancorporation.com/bridge-bank-ho… - about 5 months 2 weeks ago pic.twitter.com/0eWWI16N08Our Technology Banking Group at Bridge Bank recently provided a credit facility to CloudBolt Software, an enterprise leader in cloud management and integration solutions. Visit westernalliancebancorporation.com/bridge-bank-ho… - about 5 months 3 weeks ago to learn more details. pic.twitter.com/8fzjGbAL6BWe honor all of the veterans who have served our country. Thank you. #HappyVeteransDay REMINDER: In observance of Veterans Day, all Bridge Bank offices will be closed on Wednesday, November 11. pic.twitter.com/IfoGP8ecCAWe would like to welcome Jon Berry to the Bridge Bank team! Jon supports our Technology Banking group and will be based in Austin. Read our press release to learn more. #technology #banking #Austin #Texas westernalliancebancorporation.com/bridge-bank-ho… - about 6 months 6 days agoIn observance of Columbus Day, all Bridge Bank offices will be closed on Monday, October 12. pic.twitter.com/BtX52D5RTPWe wish everyone a safe and relaxing #LaborDay holiday weekend. REMINDER: In observance of Labor Day, all Bridge Bank offices will be closed on Monday, September pic.twitter.com/09SIuoO7XGOur Technology Banking Group recently provided MIVA, an #ecommerce #software and service provider, with a credit facility. Read our press release to learn more: westernalliancebancorporation.com/bridge-bank-ho… - about 8 months 2 weeks ago #technologybanking pic.twitter.com/OUj49RdD5VOur Life Sciences Group is pleased to announce an upsized term loan for Fennec Pharmaceuticals, a pharmaceutical company focused on the development of PEDMARK™ (a unique formulation of Sodium Thiosulfate) for the prevention of ototoxicity from cisplatin in pediatric patients. pic.twitter.com/zrH2JslA27